Since the Omicron variant was cited last Friday by the World Health Organization as a "virus of concern," stock prices for the last three stock-trading days have gyrated.
Population trends of the United States versus other countries rarely make headlines in the financial press, but a population bust has been in the news this week.
Since 1957, a 64-year span of modern history, 21 financial crises are shown here. Charting them against the performance of the Standard & Poor's 500 index, the key benchmark of the strength of the United States, puts current investment conditions in perspective.
Earnings drive stock prices. Lately, however, earnings have been driving stock prices to record-breaking prices and, with the fourth quarter economic growth rate about to more than double, stock prices could be lifted higher still.
Supply chain problems, often cited in the media as the main cause of inflation, are expected to diminish greatly by the end of the year. The high inflation rate on goods is expected to revert to the normal 2% rate experienced for the decade preceding the pandemic by the end of 2022, and prices on some goods may even be rolled back to pre-pandemic levels. For example, lumber prices at Home Depot soared in the Spring of 2021 but reverted to pre-pandemic levels by early Fall.
Is the man on the ladder going up or down? The answer depends on your perspective.
The growth of the economy drives investment returns, and plain and simple, corporate profits—that is, earnings—drive stock prices. Without an understanding of what drives stock prices, investors are often fearful when stock prices plunge or, ironically, when they are breaking record highs. Here’s some help.
There are many reasons why professional advice may be best for managing your financial situation. Here's the No. 7 reason.
Modern Portfolio Theory, or MPT, is a framework for investing. It provides part of the intellectual underpinning of our firm's approach to managing investments. So, it is important to explain it periodically.
The Standard & Poor's stock index dropped 2% yesterday and U.S. Secretary of the Treasury Janet Yellen, testifying before the Senate Banking Committee, warned of "catastrophic" consequences if Congress failed to come to an agreement on the debt ceiling by October 18. Meanwhile, a showdown is looming in Congress over raising the United States government's debt limit and how much to spend to improve the nation's infrastructure, as well as the size of the budget for the approaching fiscal year ending September 30, 2022.
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Reason No. 7 To Hire A Financial Professional: Rebalancing
Published Wednesday, October 13, 2021 at: 9:45 AM EDT
There are many reasons why professional advice may be best for managing your financial situation. Here’s the No. 7 reason
One of the services our firm offers is portfolio rebalancing. Periodic rebalancing is about as important to investor success as personal advice on tax-efficiency. Rebalancing your portfolio is not a sexy-sounding benefit of working with a professional, but it might affect your portfolio’s terminal value about as much as tax-smart investing advice, which is another important reason to hire an investment professional.
Automated calculators for rebalancing get the math right but getting investors to use them to rebalance once a year requires a commitment of time and an interest in personal finance as well as behavioral change. Working with a qualified professional who knows your financial goals and risk-tolerance came in handy in the period since Covid hit the U.S.
Since the pandemic hit in the first quarter of 2020, technology was the No. 1 performer of 11 S&P 500 industry sectors for five consecutive quarters but for the last two quarters was a middling performer.
The 12-month returns for the past six quarters on stocks classified by industry sectors illustrate why a portfolio rebalanced once a year by a professional is so important to investor success.
During the pandemic, both the Standard & Poor’s tech sector and the overall index were big winners because shopping online was safer health-wise. So was watching Netflix. And Google ads suddenly were attracting more eyeballs. Apple and Microsoft earnings growth was four times earnings growth on the average S&P 500 stock, according to Fritz Meyer, an independent economist. It was totally unexpected, of course.
The tech sector was the only one of the 11 industry sectors that make up the S&P 500 index to show a gain (10%) in the first quarter of 2020, when Covid hit. It was just the start. For the next three quarters, tech sector 12-month returns for stocks came in at an astonishing 37%, 47%, and 44%. It was an historic bull market kicked off by government transfer payments to consumers, and it is still in progress. But tech stocks for the past two quarters have not been dominating. They’ve now returned to the middle of the pack of the 12-month 11-sector index performance.
Successive quarters of outperformance would have allowed your tech stock position to grow unchecked and dominate in your portfolio results. With leadership shifting, a rebalanced portfolio would be better able to benefit from the change in leadership in the past two quarters.
There are many ways to rebalance a portfolio. Rebalancing based on a portfolio’s industry sector weightings is shown for illustration purposes.
Nothing contained herein is to be considered a solicitation, research material, an investment recommendation, or advice of any kind, and it is subject to change without notice. Any investments or strategies referenced herein do not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific person. Product suitability must be independently determined for each individual investor. Tax advice always depends on your particular personal situation and preferences. You should consult the appropriate financial professional regarding your specific circumstances. The material represents an assessment of financial, economic and tax law at a specific point in time and is not intended to be a forecast of future events or a guarantee of future results. Forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties. Actual results, performance, or achievements may differ materially from those expressed or implied. Information is based on data gathered from what we believe are reliable sources. It is not guaranteed as to accuracy, does not purport to be complete, and is not intended to be used as a primary basis for investment decisions. This article was written by a professional financial journalist for Advisor Products and is not intended as legal or investment advice.
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